Classification and probability estimation have broad applications in modern machine learning and data science applications, including biology, medicine, engineering, and computer science. The recent development of a class of weighted Support Vector Machines (wSVMs) has shown great values in robustly predicting the class probability and classification for various problems with high accuracy. The current framework is based on the $\ell^2$-norm regularized binary wSVMs optimization problem, which only works with dense features and has poor performance at sparse features with redundant noise in most real applications. The sparse learning process requires a prescreen of the important variables for each binary wSVMs for accurately estimating pairwise conditional probability. In this paper, we proposed novel wSVMs frameworks that incorporate automatic variable selection with accurate probability estimation for sparse learning problems. We developed efficient algorithms for effective variable selection for solving either the $\ell^1$-norm or elastic net regularized binary wSVMs optimization problems. The binary class probability is then estimated either by the $\ell^2$-norm regularized wSVMs framework with selected variables or by elastic net regularized wSVMs directly. The two-step approach of $\ell^1$-norm followed by $\ell^2$-norm wSVMs show a great advantage in both automatic variable selection and reliable probability estimators with the most efficient time. The elastic net regularized wSVMs offer the best performance in terms of variable selection and probability estimation with the additional advantage of variable grouping in the compensation of more computation time for high dimensional problems. The proposed wSVMs-based sparse learning methods have wide applications and can be further extended to $K$-class problems through ensemble learning.

In today's ML, data can be twisted (changed) in various ways, either for bad or good intent. Such twisted data challenges the founding theory of properness for supervised losses which form the basis for many popular losses for class probability estimation. Unfortunately, at its core, properness ensures that the optimal models also learn the twist. In this paper, we analyse such class probability-based losses when they are stripped off the mandatory properness; we define twist-proper losses as losses formally able to retrieve the optimum (untwisted) estimate off the twists, and show that a natural extension of a half-century old loss introduced by S. Arimoto is twist proper. We then turn to a theory that has provided some of the best off-the-shelf algorithms for proper losses, boosting. Boosting can require access to the derivative of the convex conjugate of a loss to compute examples weights. Such a function can be hard to get, for computational or mathematical reasons; this turns out to be the case for Arimoto's loss. We bypass this difficulty by inverting the problem as follows: suppose a blueprint boosting algorithm is implemented with a general weight update function. What are the losses for which boosting-compliant minimisation happens? Our answer comes as a general boosting algorithm which meets the optimal boosting dependence on the number of calls to the weak learner; when applied to Arimoto's loss, it leads to a simple optimisation algorithm whose performances are showcased on several domains and twists.

In this work we investigate to which extent one can recover class probabilities within the empirical risk minimization (ERM) paradigm. The main aim of our paper is to extend existing results and emphasize the tight relations between empirical risk minimization and class probability estimation. Based on existing literature on excess risk bounds and proper scoring rules, we derive a class probability estimator based on empirical risk minimization. We then derive fairly general conditions under which this estimator will converge, in the L1-norm and in probability, to the true class probabilities. Our main contribution is to present a way to derive finite sample L1-convergence rates of this estimator for different surrogate loss functions. We also study in detail which commonly used loss functions are suitable for this estimation problem and finally discuss the setting of model-misspecification as well as a possible extension to asymmetric loss functions.

In this article, we investigate a family of classification algorithms defined by the principle of empirical risk minimization, in the high dimensional regime where the feature dimension $p$ and data number $n$ are both large and comparable. Based on recent advances in high dimensional statistics and random matrix theory, we provide under mixture data model a unified stochastic characterization of classifiers learned with different loss functions. Our results are instrumental to an in-depth understanding as well as practical improvements on this fundamental classification approach. As the main outcome, we demonstrate the existence of a universally optimal loss function which yields the best high dimensional performance at any given $n/p$ ratio.

In many real-world classification problems, the labels of training examples are randomly corrupted. Most previous theoretical work on classification with label noise assumes that the two classes are separable, that the label noise is independent of the true class label, or that the noise proportions for each class are known. In this work, we give conditions that are necessary and sufficient for the true class-conditional distributions to be identifiable. These conditions are weaker than those analyzed previously, and allow for the classes to be nonseparable and the noise levels to be asymmetric and unknown. The conditions essentially state that a majority of the observed labels are correct and that the true class-conditional distributions are "mutually irreducible," a concept we introduce that limits the similarity of the two distributions. For any label noise problem, there is a unique pair of true class-conditional distributions satisfying the proposed conditions, and we argue that this pair corresponds in a certain sense to maximal denoising of the observed distributions. Our results are facilitated by a connection to "mixture proportion estimation," which is the problem of estimating the maximal proportion of one distribution that is present in another. We establish a novel rate of convergence result for mixture proportion estimation, and apply this to obtain consistency of a discrimination rule based on surrogate loss minimization. Experimental results on benchmark data and a nuclear particle classification problem demonstrate the efficacy of our approach.

We study the problem of supervised learning for both binary and multiclass classification from a unified geometric perspective. In particular, we propose a geometric regularization technique to find the submanifold corresponding to a robust estimator of the class probability $P(y|\pmb{x})$. The regularization term measures the volume of this submanifold, based on the intuition that overfitting produces rapid local oscillations and hence large volume of the estimator. This technique can be applied to regularize any classification function that satisfies two requirements: firstly, an estimator of the class probability can be obtained; secondly, first and second derivatives of the class probability estimator can be calculated. In experiments, we apply our regularization technique to standard loss functions for classification, our RBF-based implementation compares favorably to widely used regularization methods for both binary and multiclass classification.

We study losses for binary classification and class probability estimation and extend the understanding of them from margin losses to general composite losses which are the composition of a proper loss with a link function. We characterise when margin losses can be proper composite losses, explicitly show how to determine a symmetric loss in full from half of one of its partial losses, introduce an intrinsic parametrisation of composite binary losses and give a complete characterisation of the relationship between proper losses and ``classification calibrated'' losses. We also consider the question of the ``best'' surrogate binary loss. We introduce a precise notion of ``best'' and show there exist situations where two convex surrogate losses are incommensurable. We provide a complete explicit characterisation of the convexity of composite binary losses in terms of the link function and the weight function associated with the proper loss which make up the composite loss. This characterisation suggests new ways of ``surrogate tuning''. Finally, in an appendix we present some new algorithm-independent results on the relationship between properness, convexity and robustness to misclassification noise for binary losses and show that all convex proper losses are non-robust to misclassification noise.